Investment engine

Model a Saudi data center investment in real time.

Move any input. CapEx, OpEx, revenue, IRR, MOIC, sensitivity tornado, and Monte Carlo run instantly in the browser. Saudi 2026 defaults pre-loaded.

Project inputs
· IT MW
· kW/rack
· m²
· USD/m²
· Saudi DC dev benchmark 12–16%
Scenario presets
Click to load — overrides current inputs
Equity IRR
-10%0%16%40%
7.9%
Target 14% · not met · Saudi dev band 12–16%
Project IRR
3.9%
Unlevered
MOIC
1.96×
Payback 10y
Yield-on-cost
8.1%
DSCR 1.25× ⚠
Total $550.0M · $10.0M/MW
CapEx stack
land entitlements$M27.50 (5%)
shell core$M110.00 (20%)
mechanical cooling$M82.50 (15%)
electrical$M110.00 (20%)
it infrastructure$M82.50 (15%)
power infrastructure$M55.00 (10%)
soft costs$M27.50 (5%)
contingency$M55.00 (10%)
$37.7M/yr pre-G&A
OpEx (stabilised)
Power$M15.25 (40%)
Maintenance$M16.50 (44%)
Labor$M2.00 (5%)
Water$M1.06 (3%)
Insurance$M2.75 (7%)
Property tax$M0.12 (0%)
$84.8M/yr
Revenue (stabilised)
Tier / pricingTIER3 · $140/kW-mo
Base lease (annual)$84.0M
Power pass-through margin$0.76M
Setup fee (Year 1)$2.50M
Total stabilised$84.8M
Blended LCOE $29.8/MWh · PUE 1.30
Power
Annual MWh (incl. PUE)512k
Annual power cost$15.2M
CFE match75%
Time to energise18 months
Land cost (total)$8.00M
Total project $550.0M
Financing
Debt
$357.5M
Equity required
$192.5M
Annual debt svc
$35.62M
DSCR
1.25× ⚠
11 years · revenue / OpEx / debt service / FCFE · exit cap 7.0%
Cashflow trajectory
-275M106M487MY0Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Y8Y9Y10RevenueOpExDebt serviceCapExFCFE
Each driver swept Low / Base / High, others held at base
Sensitivity (tornado on equity IRR)
Revenue per kW-mo (-15% / +15%)1.0% → 13.1%
CapEx per MW (-10% / +20%)11.0% → 2.1%
Annual churn (5% / 15%)7.9% → 0.0%
Blended LCOE (-30% / +40%)10.0% → 4.7%
Exit cap rate (6% / 8%)9.8% → 6.3%
Permanent debt rate (4.5% / 7%)8.6% → 6.8%
PUE (1.2 / 1.5)8.4% → 6.7%
Year-1 lease-up (25% / 60%)7.6% → 8.3%
Base equity IRR: 7.9%
911 runs · 25 ms · triangular sampling on 8 drivers · seed 42
Monte Carlo simulation
Simulation depth
P10 (downside)
-19.9%
P50 (median)
-1.1%
P90 (upside)
6.8%
P(IRR ≥ 14%)
0%
target 14%P50-97%-20%-1%7%13%
Distribution of equity IRR across 911 independent simulations. Each run draws the 8 sensitivity drivers (CapEx/MW, revenue/kW-mo, PUE, blended LCOE, year-1 ramp, debt rate, exit cap, churn) from a triangular distribution between the Low / Base / High bounds. Mean -5.2% · σ 15.2%. Probability of meeting your 14% target: 0%.
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These outputs are indicative based on user inputs and Saudi 2026 defaults. The bankable version requires verified inputs (site evidence, PPA letters, operator pricing, KYC) and admin review. Submit a project to start.

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Indicative only.Outputs are produced by an indicative screening engine using user-provided inputs and platform default assumptions. They are not investment advice, not a bankable analysis, not a confirmed letter of capacity, and not a commitment from any partner. Bankable analysis requires verified inputs and admin review. Saudi 2026 benchmarks: KAPSARC + ICAIRE, AI and Energy, Dec 2025.

Manaar Engine v1.0• 12 modules•0.00 ms / run•Monte Carlo 911 runs in 25 ms
Saudi 2026 defaults · KAPSARC + ICAIRE, Dec 2025